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Résumé :
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The Baltic/Wadden Sea Common Eider (Somateria m. mollissima) population may have declined by one-third between 1991 and 2000, based on counts carried out on the species wintering grounds, Denmark in particular. However, less drastic reductions have been reported from the breeding grounds, mainly in Finland and Estonia. It has been hypothesized that this discrepancy might arise from an earlier debut breeding attempt of subadult individuals. An increase in adult mortality may allow a larger proportion of subadult individuals to start breeding and arrive to the breeding grounds at a younger age than before. Consequently, their numbers might mask the decline of the adult population. Accordingly, the decline of the entire population would then be discernable only on the joint wintering grounds in the south, where all age classes occur together. Yet this study found no tendency towards earlier debut breeding in a declining Eider population in the Gulf of Finland. On the contrary, debut breeding was delayed as the population declined and the adult mortality increased. Later debut breeding and diminished population size were both related to poor fledging success three years earlier (i.e., the mean maturation age), which in turn was an outcome of mass mortality among ducklings. Debutants originating from small year classes (resulting from heavy duckling losses) took more time to become mature and made a smaller contribution to the population growth rate than recruits of large year classes. Environmental conditions (e.g., food, pathogens) might affect the development of an individual, with late debutants having lower fitness than early debutants. The discrepancy between the size of the wintering stock and that of the breeding stock of Baltic/Wadden Sea Eiders might result from a decreasing fledging rate in the north and, to a lesser extent, from increased adult mortality.
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